A top down analysis approach to fundamental investing starts with the highest level of macro economic data and works its way down to a specific company by filtering each layer of financial information to find the best place to invest capital. The top down analysis will start with the current global economy, then drill down […]
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The Commitments of Traders or COT report is a weekly report created by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) quantifying holdings in the U.S. futures and options contracts by different market participants. It is put together by the CFTC from traders disclosures of market positions and covers the futures on grains, cattle, financials, metals, energy,
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Monetary policy is used by a central bank of a country to try to manage and control the money supply for a currency in its banking system and internationally. A central bank tries to use monetary policy to lower the rate of inflation and create price stability for faith and confidence in the stable value
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GDP are initials that are used in place of writing out ‘Gross Domestic Product’. An annual gross domestic product for a country is the total sum of the financial value of all created and manufactured goods along with services produced in one nation that are sold on the home and world markets during a one
This is a Guest Post by Troy Bombardia of BullMarkets.co. Market outlook: is the stock market climbing a wall of worries? The stock market has rallied significantly over the past 6 months. Yet every single day we are bombarded with more things to “worry about”. Macro worries, trade worries, yield curve worries, etc. While there
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This is a Guest Post by Troy Bombardia of BullMarkets.co. Everything rallied this week. Stocks, gold, bonds, oil. It’s hard to imagine that just 3 weeks ago everyone was concerned about the trade war and the stock market was down more than -6%. Traders are still concerned, which is reflected in sentiment data. These sort
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This is a Guest Post by Troy Bombardia of BullMarkets.co. Market outlook: how can stocks go up when we’re headed towards a recession? The common assumption is that bonds are screaming RECESSION right now, while the stock market refuses to hear it. This isn’t entirely true. While the stock market’s long term risk:reward is certainly
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This is a Guest Post by Troy Bombardia of BullMarkets.co. The economy’s fundamentals determine the stock market’s medium-long term outlook. Technicals determine the stock market’s short-medium term outlook. Here’s why: The stock market’s long term risk:reward is no longer bullish. The medium term direction (e.g. next 6-9 months) is mostly mixed, although there is a
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This is a Guest Post by AK Fallible. In this video Howard Marks of Oaktree Capital discusses stock market cycles and how to analyze them. To learn more, make sure you watch the video above! And as always, stay Fallible out there investors! Get rid of your trading FOMO with our free guide: https://macro-ops.com/fomo/ Follow
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This is a Guest Post by Troy Bombardia of BullMarkets.co How much danger is the stock market rally in? With the stock market rallying to its 61.8% retracement, our medium term market studies are mixed. They are no longer consistently bullish. And while the odds favor a pullback/retest right now, it is not impossible
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