September 2022

Bayes Theorem, the Geometry of Changing Beliefs

Bayes Theorem, the Geometry of Changing Beliefs

Bayesian thinking is successfully applied to professional fields requiring statistics and also to those considered outside of traditional statistics like education, computer programming, software, philosophy, economics, medicine and the practice of law. Bayesian thinking is a mental model which allows us to adapt our thinking reactively to new evidence as it arises and adjust our

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Real Estate vs. Stock Market

Real Estate vs. Stock Market: Which One Will Make Me More Money?

Real estate and stocks are two different asset classes. Real estate is owning properties, buildings, or homes while stocks are owning equity in a publicly traded company. Both types of assets can appreciate in value for capital gains and both can be used to create cash flow. Many factors effect which investment could be right

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The American Economy Is Now A Super Bubble | EXPLAINED

The American Economy Is Now A Super Bubble | EXPLAINED

A market bubble is when prices are too high based on historical fundamental valuation metrics at approximately 2-sigma from the historical trend. A super bubble is when asset prices are multiples from historical valuations and the average price trend due to extreme speculative conditions. A super bubble in the financial markets is when assets are

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