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This is a Guest Post by AK of Fallible

AK has been an analyst at long/short equity investment firms, global macro funds, and corporate economics departments. He co-founded Macro Ops and is the host of Fallible.

If 2018 felt different then the past several years it’s because it was……. Gone are the days of portfolio autopilot.

Volatility is back and in a big way! After one of the longest bull markets in history, 2018 felt like the end of days at times, but really it was just a return to a normal volatility regime.

2017 saw the VIX make a 30 year low at 9.51! So of course with the market moving so little in 2017 a return to normal market price action has people unsettled.

The VIX is currently, after all the Q4 fireworks, settling in the low 20’s. For long stretches like mid 90’s through mid 2000’s, 20 on the VIX was the low end of the range!

But all of us who follow the stock market can smell that change is in the air…

So for the less active, something as simple as taking a step back from committing new dollars to this market can make a huge difference.

An option almost never mentioned, is do less, step away from the market, just stop your buying for a bit till the smoke clears….The key is that we can all switch up our strategy and style to match the realities of this market environment.

If that sounds different that what you hear from financial sales people on cable tv it’s because it is… When was the last time you heard an interview where a long term investor was told to NOT buy more !

To learn more, make sure you watch the video above!

And as always, stay Fallible out there investors!

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***All content, opinions, and commentary by Fallible is intended for general information and educational purposes only, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.