A cyclical stock is one that has its price driven by the overall macroeconomic environment of the economy. A cyclical stock price trend primarily follows the cycles of an economy through stability, growth, boom, and bust. The majority of stocks that are considered cyclical are for companies that sell discretionary consumer goods that have sales …
A top down analysis approach to fundamental investing starts with the highest level of macro economic data and works its way down to a specific company by filtering each layer of financial information to find the best place to invest capital. The top down analysis will start with the current global economy, then drill down …
Monetary policy is used by a central bank of a country to try to manage and control the money supply for a currency in its banking system and internationally. A central bank tries to use monetary policy to lower the rate of inflation and create price stability for faith and confidence in the stable value …
Here is an update on the current Coronavirus events as of March 12, 2020. It’s official: World Health Organization declares the coronavirus outbreak a global pandemic. Overnight the S&P 500 index futures were halted at 5% locked limit down. Today the stock market was halted for 15 minutes as it hit a circuit breaker after …
This is a Guest Post by Troy Bombardia of BullMarkets.co. Market outlook: is the stock market climbing a wall of worries? The stock market has rallied significantly over the past 6 months. Yet every single day we are bombarded with more things to “worry about”. Macro worries, trade worries, yield curve worries, etc. While there …
Will the Stock Market Continue to Climb the Wall of Worry? Read More »
This is a Guest Post by Troy Bombardia of BullMarkets.co. Everything rallied this week. Stocks, gold, bonds, oil. It’s hard to imagine that just 3 weeks ago everyone was concerned about the trade war and the stock market was down more than -6%. Traders are still concerned, which is reflected in sentiment data. These sort …
This is a Guest Post by Troy Bombardia of BullMarkets.co. The economy’s fundamentals determine the stock market’s medium-long term outlook. Technicals determine the stock market’s short-medium term outlook. Here’s why: The stock market’s long term risk:reward is no longer bullish. The medium term direction (e.g. next 6-9 months) is mostly mixed, although there is a …
Is Macro Weakness Offset by Bullish Price Action? Read More »
This is a Guest Post by Troy Bombardia of BullMarkets.co After a solid start to the week, the S&P 500 once again sits at the bottom end of this correction. Source: Investing.com The economy’s fundamentals determine the stock market’s medium-long term outlook. Technicals determine the stock market’s short-medium term outlook. Here’s why: The stock market’s …
Another Week, Another Failed Rally. What’s Next For Stocks? Read More »
This is a Guest Post by: Troy Bombardia @bullmarketsco his website is BullMarkets.co. Market outlook: most market’s around the world are falling. What’s next The U.S. stock market has made a 61.8% bounce and now retested its lows, which is the standard pattern for these fast 10%+ corrections. “Drop, pop, and slop” Source: Investing.com Now …
After Market’s Around the World Have Fallen. What’s Next? Read More »
This is a Guest Post by AK of Fallible AK has been an analyst at long/short equity investment firms, global macro funds, and corporate economics departments. He co-founded Macro Ops and is the host of Fallible. Make sure to watch the entire China’s Downfall series here: https://bit.ly/2Ig0JZz In this video we’ll be talking about how …
