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spy2015

  1. $SPY is still in a range bound price zone, and is being traded  and not accumulated or distributed in any meaningful way.
  2. Last week the all-time high resistance level held and the market reversed back into the trading range.
  3. $SPY made lower highs and lower lows for four straight days.
  4. The $SPY reached all-time highs on very low volume, and then went down on increasing volume each day afterwards.
  5. The New York Stock Exchange showed 26% declines and 71% advances in stocks Friday. New highs were 34 and new lows were 411, showing very weak breadth, with the vast majority ticking lower. This is bearish for stocks.
  6. The RSI is showing weak price action at 44.39 and could fall lower before a bounce.
  7. The MACD is still reading bullish, but rolling over with momentum after last week’s drop in prices.
  8. I would not consider momentum long signals unless $SPY closes back over the 50 day SMA.
  9. The two key high probability bounce levels for dip buys that I will be watching, are the 30 RSI and the 200 day SMA.
  10. The best opportunity in this market is selling short on a strong move upward, and buying the deep dips into key long term support zones. It is a swing traders market. This is not the trend we are looking for.