Bayesian thinking is successfully applied to professional fields requiring statistics and also to those considered outside of traditional statistics like education, computer programming, software, philosophy, economics, medicine and the practice of law. Bayesian thinking is a mental model which allows us to adapt our thinking reactively to new evidence as it arises and adjust our […]
Bayes Theorem, the Geometry of Changing Beliefs Read More »
There are two primary methods for investing in the stock market: value investing and growth investing. Value investors want to buy a dollar in value for 50 cents today and a growth investor wants to but a future five dollar value for one dollar today. They are different ways of thinking but both can be
Growth Vs Value Investing Read More »
According to the stock trading platform Etoro, they found that a whopping 80% of day traders lose money over the course of a year and the median loss is -36.30%. Also, 75% of all day traders end up quitting within just two years. In 1999, The North American Securities Administration Association (NASAA) reported 70% of
Why 80% Of Day Traders Lose Money Read More »
Real estate and stocks are two different asset classes. Real estate is owning properties, buildings, or homes while stocks are owning equity in a publicly traded company. Both types of assets can appreciate in value for capital gains and both can be used to create cash flow. Many factors effect which investment could be right
Real Estate vs. Stock Market: Which One Will Make Me More Money? Read More »
Home prices minus the inflation rate equals real home prices. The historical performance of home prices has to be looked at in terms of inflation adjusted returns not nominal home prices. If your house goes up 10% in one year but inflation also goes up 10% you didn’t have a 10% return, your house was
Why Home Prices Haven’t Crashed Yet Read More »
Warren Buffett believes that compared to the potential of companies and stocks that real estate is a lousy investment. This is speaking relative to business ownership as he does think money can be made in real estate especially in times of market mispricing. However, his edge is in analyzing the value of future company cash
Warren Buffett: Why Real Estate Is a Lousy Investment Read More »
A market bubble is when prices are too high based on historical fundamental valuation metrics at approximately 2-sigma from the historical trend. A super bubble is when asset prices are multiples from historical valuations and the average price trend due to extreme speculative conditions. A super bubble in the financial markets is when assets are
The American Economy Is Now A Super Bubble | EXPLAINED Read More »
This is a guest post by Cory Mitchell, CMT of tradethatswing.com. What percent of day traders are successful? The success rate for making a living from day trading is 4%. This is the actual rate I witnessed while trading at a proprietary trading firm for many years, and in conversations with other firm operators. Making some
The Day Trading Success Rate Read More »
This is a guest post by Cory Mitchell, CMT of tradethatswing.com. Creating a Checklist for Trading A checklist for trades helps us follow the strategies outlined in our Trading Plan. Don’t trade without it. Running through a checklist may only take one second for some traders, or a minute or two for others. A trading checklist
Do THIS before every trade – 14 step trade checklist Read More »
Let’s look at the first signs of the demand for high priced houses collapsing and how much of it is location based around the U.S. Is the housing market in a recession? Most home builders and mortgage brokers say that we have entered a housing recession. Here’s what they are seeing: Higher mortgage rates are
It Started: The Housing Market Is Collapsing Read More »
“The first $100,000 is [tough], but you gotta do it. I don’t care what you have to do – if it means walking everywhere and not eating anything that wasn’t purchased with a coupon, find a way to get your hands on $100,000. After that, you can ease off the gas a little bit.” –
Why the First $100,000 is so Hard (And the Next is Easy) Read More »
I started listening to Dave Ramsey in 1992 on my local 99.7 FM radio station in Nashville, Tennessee when he first started in radio as the cohost of The Money Game with Roy Matlock. We are both from Antioch, TN and grew up in the same area, he is twelve years older than me with a
Dave Ramsey: You Only Need To Know These 5 Rules Read More »
With the globalization of world trade, national economies have never been more interrelated which means that when one country slows down it can have a ripple effect across the entire world. Below are the world’s top export countries that shipped the highest dollar value in exports during 2021 and the growth over 2020. 1. China
China Is About To Cause A Global Recession Read More »
Here are the big primary five keys to becoming and staying a great trader. These are the most important principles I have learned over 30 years in the financial markets and the 30-year veterans I have studied also almost all touch on these five keys in some way. 1. Consistency of execution. After you have
5 Keys To Being a Great Trader. Rules of a 30 year Veteran. Read More »
Legendary trader Paul Tudor Jones is one of the best money managers of his generation for both consistent returns and minimal drawdowns. He had no losing years in his primary fund over multiple decades, which is unheard of in the industry. PTJ more than doubled his assets under management during the Black Monday Crash of 1987
Current Paul Tudor Jones Portfolio 2022: Q2 Update Read More »
I read the book Rich Dad, Poor Dad 25 years ago after seeing it in a bookstore, the title immediately drew my interest. I saw the contrast of what the author was going to discuss in the differences between having the lessons from a rich dad versus a poor dad. He used a narrative story
20 Lessons From Rich Dad Poor Dad That Changed My Life Read More »
Here are the life principles that made Warren Buffett so successful in life, business, and happiness. He has explained them in his own words over the years. Start building wealth as early as possible. “Life is like a snowball, all you need is wet snow and a really long hill.” – Warren Buffett “On me
Warren Buffett: Advice For Young People Who Want To Get Rich Read More »
This year Charlie Munger had a lot to say at meetings and in interviews about his outlook for the economy, inflation, currencies, and geopolitical risks. Here are some really stunning quotes that the legendary 98 year old investor gave about the current situation and the future risks. Charlie Munger Predictions “When I was at the
Charlie Munger Predicts a Horrible Economic Crisis Where Everything Will Collapse Read More »
Michael Burry has been bearish on the stock market and the economy for over 18 months now. He made some big bearish bets on both Tesla and Cathie Wood’s Arkk ETF using long put options but was too early in both positions and had to exit them with losses. He has grown incredibly bearish with
Michael Burry Just Sold His ENTIRE Stock Portfolio Read More »
A list of the current highest short interest stocks can be a great place to look for potential deep dip value buys. The most shorted stocks on major U.S. stock exchanges is also a good list to watch and stay updated on for potential short squeeze opportunities. The higher the short interest percentage rises in ranking on
How To Find Epic Short Squeeze Stocks Read More »