This is a guest post from Tino @tradersreality. This article originally appeared on tradersreality.com and is reposted here with permission. My trading journey to say the least has been quite eventful. I have taken many things for granted and made a ton of mistakes, still do, but hey, F**k It, we are human, ultimately […]
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This is a Video Guest Post by AK of Fallible In this video, Victor Sperandeo “Trader Vic” explains some of the best ways to to trade a 2019 bear market crash. What type of investments would be “defensive”? Which we should define as outperforming the market in times of economic slowdown? One favorite type of
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This is a Guest Post by Chris @MacroOps which was posted originally here: Trading During 9/11 Attacks And Why I Became A Systems Trader and is reposted here with permission. The S&P 500 was down. Really down. Down hard. Then I heard the news on CNBC behind me. “Another plane just crashed into the World Trade
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This is a Video Guest Post by AK of Fallible In this video AK of Fallible talks about one of the most influential men in the history of the stock market — Jack Bogle. Bogle is also the man who created index funds and index ETF investing. He started Vanguard funds. Get rid of your
Jack Bogle: The Man That Invented Index Investing Read More »
Chart Courtesy of StockCharts.com $SPY price is back over all short term moving averages 5 day, 10 day, 20 day and not the 50 day. Last week the volume increases on the swing to higher prices. The trading range continues to decline as measured by the Average True Range (ATR) at 4.69. This shows a
More Bull Signals On the $SPY Chart: 1/20/19 Read More »
This is a Guest Post by Troy Bombardia of BullMarkets.co The S&P has now retraced more than 50%, which was the standard post-crash target outlined a few weeks ago. The stock market is exactly where it was a few months ago. This demonstrates the stock market’s “bullish bias” – it goes up more often than
The Stock Market Made A V-Shaped Recovery. What’s next? Read More »
The below chart is an example of a recent trend trade I did using a 5 day EMA/ 20 day EMA crossover entry and a rising trailing stop to maximize profits. 1. I entered $AGQ at $23.25 at the end of the day on 12/6/18 based on the 5-day / 20-day EMA crossover. My initial
My Recent Silver Trend Trade Read More »
This is a Guest Post by AK of Fallible AK has been an analyst at long/short equity investment firms, global macro funds, and corporate economics departments. He co-founded Macro Ops and is the host of Fallible. The big news last week was Apple (AAPL) cutting first quarter revenue guidance on weaker than expected iphone sales.
Apple And China: Stock Review For 2019 Read More »
There was a question asked on finance Twitter by a wealth advisor that went something like this: “Okay, so you got out of the stock market and into cash in your 401K, and avoided the bear market, so when do you get back in?” Most portfolio managers believe in the long term, with asset diversification
When Should Investors Get 401Ks Back Into $QQQ? Read More »
This is a guest post by Sam Hoffman, he is a consultant with Washington Brown Every year the real estate market changes and goes under some unexpected shifts. Depending on location, bank policy or fluctuating cultural opinion. Moreover, the mortgage crisis was a decade ago, and the industry can still fill the consequences. We don’t
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This is a Guest Post by AK of Fallible AK has been an analyst at long/short equity investment firms, global macro funds, and corporate economics departments. He co-founded Macro Ops and is the host of Fallible. If 2018 felt different then the past several years it’s because it was……. Gone are the days of portfolio
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Chart Courtesy of StockCharts.com $SPY remains over short term moving averages last week like the 5 day and 10 day EMA. $SPY price remains under all key long term moving averages 50/100/200/250. $VIX continued to trend lower last week to 18.19 as volatility has been contracting since the day after Christmas. The trading range has
The Bull Signals on the $SPY Chart: 1/13/19 Read More »
This is a Guest Post by Troy Bombardia of BullMarkets.co As the stock market rallies higher and approaches its 50% Fibonacci retracement resistance, we can see a clear divergence in the data: The economic data is mixed, with some long term macro models turning bearish. Breadth is long term bullish. Quantitative market patterns are medium
Long Term Trend Following Models That Are Turning Bearish Read More »
What exactly is a chart pattern? A chart pattern is a visual representation of the actions of buyers and sellers in a market recorded in price action. A chart is not predictive of the future but shows what is happening with buyers and sellers in the present moment. The price action on a chart gives
What Causes A Chart Pattern? Read More »
Profitable trading is not about opinions, not about a prediction, or even great stock tips or picks. Profitable trading is all about math, making more money on profitable trades than you lose on unprofitable trades. How you do this is the details. Trading without understanding the math creates randomness and luck in your process. Understanding
The Top 10 Mathematics of Trading Read More »
Here are the first and most important lessons that a new trader needs to understand. All traders have to learn these lessons either the easy way and learn them from others or they can learn them the hard way by losing their own money. Do not start trading until you have a quantified trading system
The 5 Most Important Trading Lessons Read More »
A mental model is an explanation of someone’s thought process about how something works in the real world. It is a representation of the surrounding world, the relationships between its various parts and a person’s intuitive perception about his or her own acts and their consequences. – Wikipedia Backtesting uses the scientific method to determine
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This is a Guest Post by AK of Fallible AK has been an analyst at long/short equity investment firms, global macro funds, and corporate economics departments. He co-founded Macro Ops and is the host of Fallible. 2018 was a rough year… so rough that for the first time, no major asset class outperformed inflation. This
Was The 2019 Bear Market Crash Caused By The Federal Reserve? Read More »
Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com $SPY price continues under all key moving averages except the 5 day EMA and 10 day EMA. $SPY broke out of its recent 10 day trading range Friday to close at $252.39. $SPY closed under the 10 day EMA Thursday and then reversed closing back over the 10 day
Price Ping Pong on the $SPY Chart: 1/6/18 Read More »
This is a Guest Post by AK of Fallible AK has been an analyst at long/short equity investment firms, global macro funds, and corporate economics departments. He co-founded Macro Ops and is the host of Fallible. Is The 2019 Stock Market Crash Over? | Why The Bear Market Will Continue Is this latest down move
Is The 2019 Stock Market Crash Over? Read More »