The Treynor ratio is a measurement of the returns earned in excess of what could’ve been earned on an investment that has no diversifiable risk per unit (like U.S. Bonds) of market risk assumed. The Treynor reward to volatility model is also called the reward-to-volatility ratio or Treynor measure it was named for Jack L. […]
Why do the biggest rallies happen in bear markets? The biggest stock market rallies happen in bear markets. We almost never see a 5% rally in the stock indexes in a normal bull market, and if we do it may be signaling a short term price top. The market needs high volatility for huge outsized
The Biggest Rallies Happen In Bear Markets Read More »
The UVXY is a volatility tracking exchange traded fund. This ETF started trading in October of 2011 and it tracks 1.5 times the performance of the S&P 500 VIX short-term futures index for a single day. Due to the compounding effect of daily returns, the UVXY’s performance over the long-term will be very different than
What is the UVXY Stock? Read More »
IV crush stands for implied volatility crush and is a description of what happens to options vega premium when it drops dramatically out of the pricing model of an option chain. This usually happens after a major risk or news event has passed for the underlying stock or market for the option contract. The most
Implied volatility or IV crush are descriptions for when an options vega premium dropped dramatically out of its pricing. This usually happens after a major event has passed for the underlying stock or market for the option contract. The most common time to see IV crush in a stock option is after an earnings announcement
What is Implied Volatility Crush? (IV Crush) Read More »
In Black–Scholes option pricing model, the implied volatility or ‘IV’ of an option contract is the cost embedded in the option of the volatility of the underlying instrument that it is being valued against. Volatility is the input in an option pricing model that measures when an asset will likely return to a theoretical value
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While many traders love volatility and need it to trade in their timeframe it creates as many risks as it does opportunities. If you are on the right side of volatility you can make a lot of money but being on the wrong side will cost you dearly. Here are the top 10 dangers that
The Top Dangers of Market Volatility Read More »
This is a Guest Post by Dr. Arnout ter Schure on Twitter @intell_invest. What is the VIX/VXV ratio telling us about the state of the stock markets? The VIX:VXV ratio has been dropping from almost 1.05 in June to today’s low reading of 0.83. What does this ratio mean and why should we care? To answer the
Is the VIX/VXV Ratio Signaling A Stock Market Top? Read More »
This is a Guest Post by AK of Fallible AK has been an analyst at long/short equity investment firms, global macro funds, and corporate economics departments. He co-founded Macro Ops and is the host of Fallible. If 2018 felt different then the past several years it’s because it was……. Gone are the days of portfolio
Strategies For Trading a Volatile 2019 Market Read More »
The biggest key to profitable trading that few people think about is the management of volatility. Setting a stop loss at a level that keeps you in a winning trade but stops you out of a losing trade when proven wrong is the management of volatility. Using a moving average crossover system is a way
What Are Traders Really Managing? Read More »
This is a Guest Post by AK of Fallible AK has been an analyst at long/short equity investment firms, global macro funds, and corporate economics departments. He co-founded Macro Ops and is the host of Fallible. Today we’re going to talk about volatility and how you can use it to make more money in the stock market. Volatility
What is Volatility in Stocks? – A Powerful Trading Strategy Read More »
Risk and volatility are two very different concepts. Volatility is the up and down nature of markets. If your trading strategy expects the markets to move up and down, as markets often do, then you must be ready to deal with volatility each and every day. Markets trend from high volatility to low volatility and
Volatility Is Not for Sissies Read More »
A few key points to remember when analyzing market movements: Uncertainty causes much of the volatility, as neither buyers, sellers, or holders have the majority conviction to control the trend. Unexpected good news causes the market to (generally) go up as the new situation is priced in. Expected good news is usually sold into when
Understanding Market Movement Read More »
How Does Quadruple Witching Occur? Quadruple Witching occurs as four different types of derivative instruments reach their final trading day at the same time, on the same day. In the US market, the final trading day for stock options is every third Friday of each month. The final trading day for single stock futures,
What is Quadruple Witching Friday? Read More »
My trade going into the Greek elections is to stay in cash as I have been almost all week. I am not disappointed this week I will let the day traders make their money in this market and watch the bears get mauled by central bank interventions while I sit
My Trade Going into the Greek Elections Read More »
The S & P 500 has been range bound for a week holding at the 10 day moving average as support. The problem is that it can run the full range and back in 48 hours. The market is currently range bound in a $131/$134 $SPY price box. A price break out from here
Trading in the Valley of Uncertainty Read More »
A down trending market is not the same as a range bound market or a bull market.The loss of the 200 day moving average and it not being retaken by the close is a big red flag for the potential beginning of a bear market. Bear markets do not have defined supports they can fall
10 Tips on How I Trade a Downtrending Market Read More »
There are times with charts and markets that it is best to be out of them. With the current risk and volatility I have been trading smaller and smaller and less and less until finally I am only in a few positions for the first time all year. One of the keys to me holding
10 Things Traders Can Do Instead of Losing Money Read More »
While all the Apple bulls where having a celebration party on the move back to $610 today I could not help but wonder if they rode this stock from $644 to $555 and were just celebrating getting back to where they could have gotten out at weeks ago. My
Saving your Emotional Capital $AAPL Earnings Read More »
In trading activity alone does not make money, the right activity at the right time is what makes money. Many times the right thing, is to do nothing. In your actual trading you have to do four things very well to make money. You have to know when to get
To Trade or Not to Trade: The Most Important Question Read More »